Hypothetical multi-step impact study — refreshes weekly or on demand. Builds a base/bear/bull bracket and projects portfolio MOIC delta across our positions, with editable scope and time horizon.
Tariff escalation watch holds 4 portcos at elevated risk. GMG and Anghami added since last week; Foodics and Pure Health already de-risked.
AlMutlaq Solar (89/100 · LOI active), Fervo Energy (76/100), TAQA Renewables follow-on (82/100), NEOM Hydrogen JV (pre-Quick Look). 2 candidates clear partner-review threshold.
Energy + infra cohort marks up 9% on petrodollar capex. Network International + Anghami compress 3-5% on consumer softness. Net +$140M unrealized.
Etihad Rail (debt service), Pure Harvest (capex burn), Anghami (consumer), YAP (deposit costs), Magnati (merchant credit). Net unrealized exposure $1.1B if 5.4% policy rate holds through Dec 2026.